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Often it is said that the flat
tax is passe, a posterchild of the small government movement of the 1990s.
In fact, announcements of its intellectual death are premature. The reality
is that the flat tax is robust and unique, and outstrips its competitors
- the head tax and the progressive tax - in fairness and efficiency.
The head tax (also known as a poll tax) is a fixed exaction on individuals
that does not vary with the amount of income received.
Head taxes attract an enormous amount of well-founded popular hostility,
as the Thatcher Government discovered. Under a progressive tax structure,
the rate of taxation increases as taxable income increases. Marginal dollars
(the last dollar earned) are subject to higher rates of tax than inframarginal
dollars. How much higher is an open question.
With a flat tax the rate of taxation is constant regardless of the amount
of income earned.
If everybody in society had identical social positions and income, a head
tax would lose its sting. Each citizen would carry an equal burden and
no single person would be unfairly disadvantaged.
But society is heterogeneous. For a person who earns little the head tax
could exceed their income. Flat dues for everybody might be appropriate
for country club membership, but there will be no political willingness
to tolerate a taxation system along similar lines.
So the head tax can be knocked out of contention. The question then becomes:
is a flat tax or a progressive tax better?
A progressive tax can have a marginal rate for the first dollar at 30
per cent and a marginal rate for the last dollar at 30.1 per cent. Alternatively,
a tax also counts as progressive if it starts at zero and goes up to 100
per cent. Anyone who favours a progressive tax must decide which tax rate
structure they support out of the billions that could be conjured up.
The defender of the progressive tax will point to the undisputed proposition
of the diminishing marginal utility of wealth.
But it is impossible to come up with a principled, intellectual way of
determining the extent of diminishing marginal utility of wealth, just
as it is impossible to come up with a principled, intellectual way of
setting the marginal increases in the rate of the progressive tax. Thus
the task becomes a purely political matter.
Without principled argument, it is difficult to avoid a strong division
of opinion and clash of wills.
Legitimacy becomes difficult to obtain or retain. The process of figuring
out the optimal level of progressivity will create uncertainty and dissipate
political capital that could be better spent on more productive activities.
If a government adopts a low level of progressivity - say an "almost-flat-tax"
that increases from 20 to 25 per cent - the quizzical response is "why
bother?". The government will not gain enough extra revenue to make it
worthwhile, yet must bear the costs of the extra administrative complexity.
A person on a low income will obtain a slightly larger share of a somewhat
smaller pie as the progressive tax shrinks the economy somewhat. The people
at the high end of the scale will receive a smaller share of a smaller
pie. This is a lose-lose situation.
Implementing a much steeper tax scale runs into a fresh set of problems.
Decisions by citizens about where to set up their homes and businesses
are not independent of the tax system. This is a dynamic world.
Faced with a steep progressive rate, some enterprising and better-off
people will leave, depriving those left behind of their expertise and
tax contributions.
Once a government has decided on a flat tax, it does not need to face
periodic alterations to its form. If the government needs greater revenue
it simply raises the flat rate. If it needs less, it lowers the rate.
The tilt in taxation is thus taken out of the political process, reducing
friction.
Another advantage of a flat tax is that the same amount will be collected
by the government regardless of the taxpayer's identity, for instance,
whether the employer or employee pays tax on fringe benefits.
Under a progressive tax system, who pays and when they pay become important.
This leads to inefficient economic transactions designed to obtain private
gains with no social benefit.
What of the argument that a progressive tax is fairer because it redistributes
resources to those who need them most?
The response is that the tax system should not be the only mechanism for
redistribution. First, the government should sort out the provision of
public goods, then get private markets organised and regulated efficiently.
Only when these jobs are complete should it consider how many people need
substantial assistance or protection. If the first two tasks have been
done well, the number of people in need should shrink over time in a growing
economy.
Transfers are a more efficient, powerful and comprehensive means of redistribution
than progressive taxation.
Thus, a flat tax system could be coupled with a transfer system based
on criteria that establish who should qualify for welfare assistance.
Yet even without that explicit mechanism, a flat tax itself brings about
significant redistribution when used to fund social programmes. Those
on higher incomes pay more in absolute terms but often make less use of
government services.
The redistributive aspect of a flat tax is even greater when non-pecuniary
income is taken into account.
Individual wealth is more comprehensive than a simple measure of individual
property and money in the bank. Wealth can be thought of as the sum of
hedonic pleasures and financial assets.
Hedonic pleasures include things as mundane (and vital) as good health,
happy relationships, being able to laugh and enjoy life.
When somebody's income is taxed and that person is supplied with, for
example, police protection, the government is not only protecting their
property but also their liberty and hedonic resources, both of which fall
outside the conventional tax base.
A flat tax hits financial wealth but the revenues it generates are used
to protect both financial and hedonic resources. It follows, then, that
redistribution will occur towards people who are relatively poor in financial
terms.
A move to a low single rate of tax would not mean tax increases on low
income earners. Also, they would not face higher tax rates as their incomes
rose and they would share in the benefits of faster economic growth a
better tax structure would generate.
When the overall questions of wealth production and wealth transfer are
combined, the flat tax emerges as a powerful, durable and simple idea.
Hong Kong and Singapore are countries with "almost-flat taxes".
Russia has introduced a flat tax of 13 per cent and Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania,
Serbia, Ukraine, Slovakia, Georgia and Romania all have relatively low
flat taxes.
It is ironic that the flat tax is popular in former communist countries.
It was Karl Marx, in his Communist Manifesto of 1848, who was among the
first to call for "a heavy progressive or graduated income tax" at a time
when a flat rate was the norm in the early industrialising countries.
It is no accident that every strong defender of limited government has
gravitated toward the flat tax. This is true of John Locke, Adam Smith
and Friedrich Hayek.
Nobody would try to put themselves in that league, but I shall cast my
vote with the giants and let those who dissent find some other champion
- perhaps Karl Marx.
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