16 August 2005

Sustainability

In 2001, the Danish academic and former Greenpeace member Bjorn Lomborg published his acclaimed book The Skeptical Environmentalist: Measuring the Real State of the World. In it he exposed the litany of environmental myths of the last 30 years and painstakingly documented the evidence that environmental quality has generally been steadily improving, at least in the developed world. In Lomborg's own words, the message of his book is that:

… children born today - in both the industrialized world and the developing countries - will live longer and be healthier, they will get more food, a better education, a higher standard of living, more leisure time and far more possibilities - without the global environment being destroyed.

I know of no one who favours unsustainable development. But Lomborg's argument is that development is sustainable. Indeed, more often than not, economic progress and environmental improvement go hand in hand.

It is sometimes suggested that New Zealanders value quality of life ahead of economic growth and higher incomes. But this is a confusing statement. Decent incomes, along with a good environment and other things like leisure and safe communities, are part of the quality of life.

As New Zealanders, we greatly value the quality of our environment but that does not mean we are unconcerned about our material well-being. Indeed, surveys seem to suggest that New Zealanders are no more 'green' than people in comparable countries; where we differ most is in our desire for higher incomes. This should be no surprise: our average incomes declined for a long period relative to those in other advanced countries, and we have only begun to catch up again in the last decade.

In my view, it is better to talk directly about what constitutes good economic and environmental policy than to invoke the language of 'sustainability'. Sustainable development is a problematical term. The common definition is development that "meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs."

But how do we know what the needs of future generations will be? A hundred years ago many people were worried about running out of whale oil for lighting, firewood for heating and horses for transportation. With changing technology, what will people need in 2100? Moreover, a concern for intergenerational equity needs to take account of the fact that future generations will almost certainly be far better off than present generations. How much should relatively poor people today be asked to sacrifice to benefit future generations whose living standards may be equivalent to those of today's mega-wealthy? The most important things to leave future generations are a growing capital stock, technology, sound institutions and, above all, a capacity to innovate.

Much of the concern about sustainability focuses on depletion of natural resources. But natural resources are generally becoming more plentiful, not less - prices have been in long-term decline in real terms. In 1970, global reserves of copper were estimated at 280 million tonnes. During the next 30 years about 270 million tonnes were consumed. Yet at the turn of the century estimated reserves stood at 340 million tonnes, not 10 million. Available supplies have surged, and at the same time substitutes for copper such as fibre optics have come into widespread use.

The same is true even for oil. Global reserves of oil in 2000, at 1,050 billion barrels, compared with 580 billion barrels in 1970. Sheik Yamani, founder of the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries, has often pointed out that the oil age will come to an end but not for a lack of oil (oil will be displaced by other fuels, especially renewables), just as the Stone Age came to an end but not for a lack of stones. While some natural resources may be finite, human ingenuity is not.

What about pollution? On the whole, rich countries are less polluted than poor countries, not more. As Indian prime minister Indira Gandhi put it, "poverty is the worst polluter". Richer countries employ cleaner technologies and have more resources to devote to environmental protection. The main safeguards against pollution (including global warming, if concerted international action to combat it turns out to be warranted) are secure property rights (so that people take care of what they own), free markets (so that resources go to their most highly valued uses), and economic prices (which reflect the true cost of resources). However, sound environmental regulations, particularly those targeted at negative external effects of economic activity, also have a role to play.

The concept of a 'triple bottom line' that is sometimes invoked in the name of 'sustainability' is even more problematical. Its advocates want businesses to pursue not just a financial bottom line but social and environmental bottom lines as well.

There are several problems with this concept.

First, few would argue that companies should not be socially and environmentally responsible, but that does not exhaust their responsibilities. Why not add other "bottom lines", such as an ethical bottom line and a corporate governance bottom line? The concept is arbitrary.

Second, as The Economist noted in an article earlier this year:

Measuring profits is fairly straightforward; measuring environmental protection and social justice is not. The difficulty is partly that there is no single yardstick for measuring progress in those areas. How is any given success for environmental action to be weighed against any given advance in social justice - or, for that matter against any given change in profits? And how are the three to be traded off against each other? …

Measuring profits - the good old single bottom line - offers a pretty clear test of business success. The triple bottom line does not.

Third, as The Economist went on to point out, the problem is not just that there is no one yardstick allowing the three measures to be compared with each other. It is also that there is no agreement on what progress on the environment, or progress in the social sphere, actually mean - not, at least, if you are trying to be precise about it. In other words, there are no yardsticks by which different aspects of environmental protection can be compared even with each other, let alone with other criteria. And the same goes for social justice.

Fourth, the great virtue of the single bottom line is that it holds managers to account for something. Triple bottom line objectives blur the accountability of boards and managements for performance. There can be no objection to firms choosing to report on environmental or social aspects of their operations to their shareholders or wider stakeholders. Doing so according to some triple bottom line metric, however, is unlikely to be meaningful. It should also be for companies themselves to decide voluntarily what reporting (beyond legal requirements) is in the best interests of their shareholders, having regard to costs. The taskforce set up by the Institute of Chartered Accountants of New Zealand to examine sustainable development reporting was right to come down in its 2003 report against mandatory reporting.

In passing, it should be noted that proclamations of corporate virtue and dedication to notions such as sustainability should not be taken at face value. Sometimes what is involved is little more than self-serving public relations or a strategy to buy favours. Enron was America's triple bottom line company par excellence, but it came up several bottom lines short.

There is no need for those in business to be defensive about its social role. Serving the material needs of fellow human beings is a noble vocation. Profit-oriented enterprise in competitive markets is the best system we know for creating wealth and lifting living standards. Profits are a prima facie signal that society's resources are being put to good use. Other institutions (like charities) cater for other needs. We should allow businesses to perform their prime social role and not burden them with other, inappropriate, ones.

In summary, sustainable development stems from the same kind of institutions we need to advance other social goals, in particular political and economic systems based on secure property rights and the rule of law. As more and more countries are appreciating, these are the basis of economic prosperity, but economic prosperity also leads to improved environmental quality by raising demands for it and providing the wherewithal to meet those demands. Concepts like sustainability and the triple bottom line are well-intentioned, but they tend not to lead to clear thinking about what constitutes sound public policies. We have better analytical tools at hand for meeting both economic and environmental challenges.

Roger Kerr is the executive director of the New Zealand Business Roundtable.


For more information, contact:

Roger Kerr
Executive Director
Ph: 04 499 0790
Email: rkerr@nzbr.org.nz

Web: www.nzbr.org.nz

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